The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century
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- ISBN13: 9780767923057
- Condition: NEW
- Notes: Brand New from Publisher. No Remainder Mark.
Product Description
A fascinating, eye-opening and regularly shocking look at what lies yet to be for the U.S. and the world from one of our most sharp futurists.
In his thought-provoking new book, George Friedman, founder of STRATFOR—the preeminent private intelligence and forecasting firm—focuses on what he knows best, the future. Positing that civilization is at the dawn of a new era, he offers a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century all based on his own thorough analysis and research. For example, The U.S.-Jihadist war will be replaced by a new cold war with Russia; China’s role as a world power will diminish; Mexico will become an vital force on the geopolitical stage; and new technologies and cultural trends will radically alter the way we live (and fight wars). Riveting reading from first to last, The Next 100 Years is a fascinating exploration of what the future holds for all of us.
For continual, updated analysis and supplemental material, go to www.Stratfor.comAmazon.com Review
Amazon Best of the Month, January 2009: “Be Practical, Expect the Impossible.” So declares George Friedman, chief intelligence officer and founder of Strategic Forecasting, Inc. (Stratfor), a private intelligence agency whose clients include foreign government agencies and Chance 500 companies. Gathering information from its global network of operatives and analysts (drawing the nickname “the Shadow CIA”), Stratfor produces thoughtful and genuinely engrossing analysis of international events daily, from possible outcomes of the latest Pakistan/India tensions to the hierarchy of Mexican drug cartels to challenges to Obama’s nascent administration. In The Next 100 Years, Friedman undertakes the impossible (or improbable) challenge of forecasting world events through the 21st century. Starting with the premises that “conventional political analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination” and “common sense will be incorrect,” Friedman maps what he sees as the likeliest developments of the future, some intuitive, some surprising: more (but less catastrophic) wars; Russia’s re-emergence as an aggressive hegemonic power; China’s diminished influence in international affairs due to traditional social and economic imbalances; and the dawn of an American “Golden Age” in the second half of the century. Friedman is well aware that much of what he predicts will be incorrect–unforeseeable events are, of course, unforeseen–but through his interpretation of geopolitics, one gets the sense that Friedman’s guess is better than most. –Jon Foro
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Some useful info but another secular trained analyst. You forgot something Sir; God will not strive with man forever – you should study your Bible (which you have the liberty to do) particularly Ezekiel 38-39. You really helped solve a mystery for me though by identifying how Germany (Gomer) gets pulled into the Russian (Magog) led invasion of Israel. But dont be too offended because most if not all the so-called reflect tanks fail to know the end game because they just unadorned fall flat on their face regarding God’s Program. Or, in essence the sin of unbelief. Advice: flee to the Cross while He may be establish.
Reader’s Rating: 2 / 5
I made a very terrible mistake in buying this book. “The Next 100 years” is, primarily, a book based on geopolitics. There is small discussion of human population growth and its various side-products (such as global warming or wear of the natural environment) as causes of developments over the next 100 years. There is small or no discussion on economics. Despite a 2009 copywrite, there is no real thought about the current financial and economic disruption. Nor is there any serious look at the potential upheavals due to our Social Security problems, or financing government-based health care, or Socialization, or any of the more serious budgetary problems that the USA needs to work on solving.
The attention to scientific and technological advances is pitiful. There is no discussion on the effects of improved global communications, no discussion on the possible uses of fullerenes (carbon nanotubes), and no discussion on the potential for ‘high temperature’ superconductors (still a possibility). There are another dozen areas that the book should evaluate but does not.
There are many errors, mistakes, and (I judge) calculated mis-statements on any number of items. As for the thought of Mexico apt a serious challenger to the USA, Canada has much more going for it. But, I do admit that the growing minority of hispanics in the Southwestern states will be a growing worry.
The leader, also, terribly underestimates the growth potentials for China, Russia, and Iran. The predictions he does make do not have enough support in reality.
I am sorry, but I cannot recommend this book. My copy may wind up in the garbage (very, very, rare for me).
Reader’s Rating: 1 / 5
It’s only January, but Friedman has likely already has locked up the award for worst book of 2009. Ridiculous predictions abound throughout, burdened by only the sheerest supporting logic.
The first clue that Friedman is a nutcase is his Introduction where he tells us “The world does pivot around the U.S.” Why – because we’re located on both oceans!
Well, so is Mexico – sort of. “Mexico will emerge as an vital world power.”
Reading on – Russia’s fall in 1991 was the dawn of the American Age. (Never mind WWII, our enormous current trade, federal, and corporate deficits, and the fact that we are being held above water by Japan, Saudi Arabia, and China.)
Forget China – it will undergo major extended internal crisis. It will become a “paper tiger.” Why – because the surrounding lands (Siberia in the north, the Himalayas and jungles in the south, most its population is in the east, and it hasn’t been a naval power for centuries (though they’re effective on it).
What does Friedman see as America’s goals? Perfect domination of North America by the U.S. Army. Elimination of any threat by any power in the Western Hemisphere. Perfect domination of the world’s oceans. Never mind that our economy is cratering, Venezuela and Columbia detest us and are friends with Russia and China.
What about the War on Terror? That’s so passe – Russia will collapse in the early 2020s, but somehow will then end up in confrontation with the rest of the world.
Having failed to win in Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan (so far), we’ll turn to space warfare.
Prior predictions elsewhere include North Korea not having the bomb, America’s feud with France will deepen, there’s small chance the U.S. would capture Saddam, and the U.S. and (1991) Japan will soon engage in a “hot” war over trade.
The “excellent news” is that policy on immigration will change around 2030, and Mexicans will be welcomed. Then they can worry about Friedman’s foolishness.
Reader’s Rating: 1 / 5
The book title is misleading. The book should be titled “A US view of future world Geopolitics”.
A book only discussing Geopolitics and “dark” predictions of U.S. world domination.
Even within the narrowed scope of Geopolitics, the leader does not factor in predictions based on the likely affects of global warming, alternative energy, pandemics, globalization of cultures, or radical social and political changes resulting from the information age.
Friedman makes sweeping generalizations about “additional” countries and the rest of the world.
This book is painfully U.S. centric. Friedman discredits objectivity by annoyingly repetative patriotic statements about how fantastic the U.S. is. Friedman`s U.S. centric predictions are based on “…several hundred years of past data…” and “…50 year cycles…”. This is hard to find credible since the U.S. is just over 230+ years ancient.
Many points in this book are thought provoking, but Friedman does not adequately cite his source data. He avoids explaining any of this methodologies for his forecasts.
I read this book thanx to Blackstone Audio and my Ipod Nano.
Reader’s Rating: 2 / 5
I admit it’s my fault for not reading the description, but why place this on cassette? Cassette format is nearly as outdated as LP’s. C’mon. The title of this book is the “Next 100 Years” and you place it on a format from the last 100 years. How stupid is that? I have a CD player in my car. I don’t even own a cassette player. This audio book is useless to me.
Reader’s Rating: 2 / 5