The Flooded Earth: Our Future In a World Without Ice Caps
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Product Description
Sea level rise will take place no matter what we do. Even if we stopped all carbon dioxide emissions today, the seas would rise one meter by 2050 and three meters by 2100. Thisnot drought, species extinction, or excessive heat waveswill be the most catastrophic effect of global warming. And it won’t simply redraw our coastlinesagriculture, electrical and fiber optic systems, and shipping will be changed forever. As icebound regions melt, new sources of oil, gas, minerals, and arable land will be revealed, as will fierce geopolitical battles over who owns the rights to them.
In The Flooded Planet, species extinction practiced Peter Ward describes in intricate detail what our world will look like in 2050, 2100, 2300, and beyonda blueprint for a foreseeable future. Ward also clarifies what politicians and policymakers around the world should be doing now to head off the worst consequences of an inevitable transformation.
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Contrary to what the first reviewer falsely believes, this book is not science. It is hype and is proposed to scare people into believing global warming is/will be a disaster. Ward claims that sea levels will rise by 2 – 3 feet by 2050 and much more by 2100 (9 feet!) and beyond (20 feet during the maximum co2 concentration and warming peak sometime from the years 2500 -5000). These claims go way, way beyond what the IPCC and additional organizations and the numerical models they use for their forecasts predict. Just reflect about Ward’s claims for a second – does a 2 – 3 foot rise in sea level over 40 years make sense when sea levels haven’t risen more than a couple inches over the past 150 years? Of course not! Additionally, there are completely inaccurate and misleading statements made by Ward in the book, such as a statement that says Katrina was a 4 or 5 category storm as it hit land. First, it was a category 3, and second, if this leader was any excellent at research in the first place, there would be no subjectivity involved in such a statement. Additional chapters start with very dramatic, but certainly not scientific statements. One chapter, for example, starts with a paragraph where Ward states that the sound of Antarctica melting can clearly be heard through the dripping of water – all one has to do is visit Antarctica to be convinced of this. What stupidity and emotionally charged nonsense! As a graduate student in atmospheric science, and one doing climate research, the fact that such a book can be published is very frustrating. Additionally, the fact that some people, like the first reviewer, aver they know science and then accuse others of deliberately ignoring science because they don’t judge the worst case scenario, is way past frustrating (for lack of a better descriptor at the moment). These people, and this book and it’s leader, really have no clue what nonsense they’re promoting and, in reality, have no concept what science is – including the specifics of what is perhaps the most complex physical system there is on Planet. When are we ever going to take a stand against such garbage? If we don’t, it will never stop.
Reader’s Rating: 1 / 5
This book is terrible, it avoids obviouis evidence that there is no global warming and the leader uses the same stupid “well record cold has been because the planet has gotten more messed up from the heat” fob off, in additional words, just make soemthing up lacking evidence and count on people just having faith and believing you. The leader is unreasonable as well as can be seen from artbell.tk in which merely getting a very fleeting Christian blessing causes him to curl into a shell and become a hateful moron. God already flooded Planet and said he wouldn’t do it again, and gave us the sign of the rainbow, stick with God, not mainstream science’s “we’re still learning” garbage.
Reader’s Rating: 1 / 5
Mr. Ward presents all sides of a contentious issue, in simple to read format, with enough levelheaded science (made reasonably readable for persons of us not deep into science) to assure the reader this is not driven by promoting the agenda of any particular group or industry. He takes the time to take up many of the poltical problems surrounding “global warming solutions” from enough perspectives that the reader feels he now understands what the real problems are as compared to the over hyped scare tactics of some and the dismissive attitude of people who continue to aver “It’s just not so.” He does it with a balanced approach, including some realistic time lines, with no assertion of certitude, but merely presenting an intelligent analysis of known facts, and a reasonable range of projections as to what effects might occur over what time periods.
It is a complex issue, with hard choices, requiring thorough analysis, not fleeting spots in the media, which make panic or ennui.
If we care about our grandchildren and fantastic grandchildren, if we want to place them a habitable planet, capable of feeding the world’s population, over the next two or three centuries, then the world needs some statesmen, not political windbags, capable of building enough consensus to allow hard decisions in the near future.
Reader’s Rating: 5 / 5
This review was previously published in the Seattle Times, but I retained the rights to publish elsewhere, including my Science Shelf Book Review Archive, where I review several additional of Ward’s books. He remains one of my favorite authors despite my mixed review of this title, which follows:
Prolific leader Peter Ward is known for taking risks. No matter what the topic, readers value him as both a provocateur and a trusted guide to new territory.
They follow him keenly as he explores innovative and regularly controversial views of the world or the universe. Even when they don’t agree with his conclusions, they emerge with a new appreciation for his questions.
At least that has been the case for the University of Washington biology and space sciences professor’s previous books ranging from Rare Planet: Why Complex Life Is Uncommon in the Universe (with Donald Brownlee) in 2000 to last year’s The Medea Hypothesis: Is Life on Planet Ultimately Self-Destructive? (Science Essentials).
The response to his latest title, The Flooded Planet: Our Future in a World Lacking Ice Caps, may be very different. This time Ward may have allowed speculation to carry him farther than most readers will be willing to go.
The problem won’t be the writing or the theme matter. Ward’s narrative skills are a strong as ever. His readers accept that human activity has increased atmospheric carbon dioxide and, consequently, has set the planet on a path toward a very different climate.
They know that the greatest and least predictable effect will be the melting of the polar ice sheets and the consequent rise in sea level.
They will also accept his scientific argument that looking at the geological record can shed light on the likely consequences of a rapid rise in CO2.
So they will accept his main premise: “The greatest single scientific question–and for our society, a question of life or death–is how far and how quick the seas will rise…. It doesn’t take much of a change in climate conditions to edge us from manageability into catastrophe.”
The problem is likely to be the way Ward chooses to clarify that catastrophe. He presents a series of speculative vignettes of life at various low-lying locations from Miami to Venice to the Netherlands to Bangladesh, as the level of atmospheric CO2 and the oceans rise. Implicit in this future history is that “the very scenery of politicians and the people they serve mitigates … proactive response to climate change.”
Ward’s pessimism turns what most climate scientists view as a worst-case but all-too-plausible scientific scenario into a dystopian vision — including a humanity-threatening mass extinction by hydrogen sulfide three millenia from now.
Readers view that calamity from “ancient Seattle,” a seacoast area that once had eight large hills, but “was now seven islands and a peninsula. To the south, where the nearby shoreline had once been, legend said that an very ancient tower of might known as the space needle had extended 300 feet out of the still water, with another 300 under the sea.”
That might be a suitable place for the deplorable humans remaining to contemplate the errors of our supposedly enlightened civilization. And the science behind it is appealing. But many readers will question the risk that Ward took by leading them on such a contrived course to such a dismal destination.
Children’s science writer and physicist Fred Bortz has reviewed several of Peter Ward’s earlier books and archived persons reviews online at the Science Shelf.
Reader’s Rating: 3 / 5
From a biological and geological perspective, Ward reaches similar conclusions to additional scientists, specializing in pure climate science. The all-purpose reader likely will find some of his suppositions of the levels of ocean rise, to be speculative, at least to some degree….and the leader would agree. For some readers, this will be an unacceptable approach, in which case I could not recommend it….for it will become an irritation. Yet, the questions he raises remain valid, agreed what we know of human scenery, and our reluctance to act until catastrophe confronts us directly. Honestly, just how likely is it that humanity will act with the degree of adequacy required, by the scenery of this quietly looming existential crisis?
But implausible for some…if the reader follows him closely, he/she would learn, I judge…that his conclusion of three foot to ten foot rises, within 50 years, or within the century….both, to be possible. He is careful to say, that it depends upon a number of key factors. Not the least of these, is the largest…the actions of humanity. Whether, Ward’s scenario occurs within 50 years or 200, the processes Ward describes ring right. In fact, his all-purpose thesis…minus his various and sundry time lines…is reasonably close to the science now coming on line from many additional climate disciplines.
I reflect the reader will, more than likely, be interested in his well written and chillingly realistic chapters, regarding the multiple crises humanity will face, and the kind of tough governmental, human, and economic decisions, regarding what land to attempt to protect, and what to abandon. He starts his writing with south Florida. Miami to be precise, of which, I have some knowledge. Its average height above sea level is only six feet. Among the most conservative reliable estimates for 2100, are for a three foot rise. Ward writes that it is not out of the question, that accelerated warming could easily produce his privileged facts. It’s right that no one knows the degree. But it’s also right that, lacking a significant human effort to change the scenario by cutting fossil fuel use….coal, oil, and gas….that even the privileged estimates that Ward sees, can not be absolutely ruled out.
As I said, there are some readers, who will reflect this book is an exaggeration, or worse….so, along with Ward’s book, I recommend, an equally thought provoking….but more detailed and scientifically thorough discussion….with small speculation….Jim Hansen’s, Storms of My Grandchildren: The Truth About the Coming Climate Catastrophe and Our Last Chance to Save Humanity.
Reader’s Rating: 4 / 5